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Looming Oil-Supply Shock Launches Debate in OPEC

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Prospect of European embargo and price cap on Russian oil, along with rising winter demand, are weighing on the production group

High oil prices have been beneficial for OPEC+, an alliance of oil-producing countries that controls more than half of the world’s output. WSJ’s Shelby Holliday explains what OPEC+ countries are doing with the windfall and why they aren’t likely to distance themselves from Russia. Illustration: Adele Morgan

The specter of an oil-supply shock this winter has created a dilemma for OPEC and its wider circle of crude producers about whether to reverse course on the production cuts it set last month.

Beginning in early December, the oil market will face a series of looming problems that some members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries see as a potential opportunity to pump more oil and others view as a reason to stay the course with their production cuts.

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