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Economy of Oman: A 3% of GDP budget deficit


Following an anticipated surplus this year as higher oil prices increased income. Oman is projecting a 1.3 billion rial ($3.39 billion) deficit in its 2023 budget. Or 3% of gross domestic product. Using an average oil price estimate of $55 per barrel. State media claimed that the Gulf state anticipates income of 11.7 billion rials and expenditures of 13 billion rials for the upcoming year.

According to state media, which cited the finance ministry. The budgeted spending for 2019 is 7% higher than the approved spending for 2022. The administration projects a budgetary surplus of 1.15 billion rials for 2022. With spending at 13.9 billion rials and income at 14.2 billion rials. Assuming an average oil price of $94 per barrel this year.

One of the weakest economies in the Gulf, Oman, switched to a budget surplus in the first half of 2022. Releasing strain on the government’s finances and enhancing its capacity to repay debt.

Due primarily to increased oil revenue, fiscal restraint, and the implementation of value added tax, the IMF anticipates Oman to post fiscal and external surpluses in 2022 and over the next few years.

Oman’s credit rating was raised by S&P Global last month from BB- to BB as a result of improved fiscal health and decreased governmental debt.

Despite recent lows in oil prices after reaching highs of over $100 per barrel throughout this year, Oman’s oil price projection for its 2023 budget seems reasonable.

In a note dated Dec. 12, Goldman Sachs outlined their base case scenario, which calls for Brent crude to average $83 a barrel over the following five years.

We should set aside the fact that the country’s primary source of income has decreased. This is due to lower oil prices for the time being. Some believe that omanization is the major problem facing Oman’s economy. However it is unquestionably not the main cause. So let us ask: Would you want to pay Omanis a monthly check while they sit at home doing nothing. Or is it preferable to give them work that they can do? When they should be appreciating the chance to live and work in this wonderful country. most expats misinterpret Oman’s relaxed and humble attitude for a weakness.

The long-standing social stigma that accuses Omani people of being unmotivated and ignorant. It is now starting to fade. Which is why the majority of expatriates are concerned about losing their jobs.  There are aware that there are more motivated and educated Omani people. While they are well aware that they are not any wiser than the locals. The majority of expats who complain have been riding the “expats are smarter” wave.

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